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Baruch Fischhoff


Dr. Baruch Fischhoff

Howard Heinz University Professor
Carnegie Mellon University

The foundation of risk management is an integrative analytical model, encompassing the factors creating and controlling outcomes that people value. That model helps to ensure that risk managers have addressed the concerns of the communities that they hope to protect, have assembled the expertise needed to provide that protection, and have laid the foundation for useful communications. National Academies of Science are in a unique position to frame risk management and communication effectively, as well as to promote development and collaboration of the constituent sciences.

Baruch Fischhoff Ph.D. is the Howard Heinz University Professor in the departments of Social and Decision Sciences and of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University, where he heads the Decision Sciences major.

A graduate of the Detroit Public Schools, he holds a BS in mathematics and psychology from Wayne State University and an MA and PhD in psychology from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

He is a member of the Institute of Medicine of the National Academy of Sciences and he is past President of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making and of the Society for Risk Analysis, and recipient of its Distinguished Achievement Award.

He was founding chair of the Food and Drug Administration Risk Communication Advisory Committee and recently chaired the National Research Council Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security and currently co-chairs the National Research Council Committee on Future Research Goals and Directions for Foundational Science in Cybersecurity and the National Academy of Sciences Sackler Colloquium on “The Science of Science Communication.”

He is aformer member of the Eugene, Oregon Commission on the Rights of Women, Department of Homeland Security's Science and Technology Advisory Committee, the World Federation of Scientists Permanent Monitoring Panel on Terrorism, and the Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board, where he chaired the Homeland Security Advisory Committee.

He is a Fellow of the American Psychological Association, the Association for Psychological Science (previously the American Psychological Society), the Society of Experimental Psychologists, and the Society for Risk Analysis.

He has co-authored or edited seven books, Acceptable Risk (1981), A Two-State Solution in the Middle East: Prospects and Possibilities (1993), Elicitation of Preferences (2000), Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach (2002), Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Science Foundations (2011), Risk: A Very Short Introduction (2011), Communicating Risks and Benefits: An Evidence-Based Guide (2011), Judgment and Decision Making (2011), Risk Analysis and Human Behavior (2011), and Counting Civilian Casualties (in press).

Resources Campbell, P. (2011). Understanding the receivers and the receptions of science’s uncertain messages. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 369, 4891-4912; Fischhoff, B., &Kadvany, J. (2011). Risk: A very short introduction. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Morgan, MG, &Henrion, M. (1990); Uncertainty. New York: Cambridge University Press. National Research Council. (1996); Understanding risk. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.

http://www.sra.org/ [International Society for Risk Analysis]